Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 30%
-21% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +25%
0.96/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.95
-15% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
5W-1D-0L
AWAY PFC Beroe
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2026 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 HT 0-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
03.11.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 1-3 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
30.11.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
29.07.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
21.05.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-3 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
09.04.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-1
AWAY PFC Beroe
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and PFC Beroe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 63% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 37%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 0.50 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 48%, draw 23%, PFC Beroe 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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