Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
59%
+4.5pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.1pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +23%
2.16/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.97
+28% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
5W-1D-0L
AWAY PFC Beroe
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 1-3 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
30.11.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
29.07.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
21.05.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-3 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
09.04.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
06.10.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2-1
AWAY PFC Beroe
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 edged past PFC Beroe 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 60% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 40%, shots finished 24-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 0.33 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 64%, draw 20%, PFC Beroe 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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