Levski Sofia 1-0 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Apr 2026

📅09/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
12%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
12%
Away Win
12%
-0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.85/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.86
+8% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-3 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
14.05.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-3 HT 0-3 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
26.04.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-1 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
16.03.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-1 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
29.09.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-1 HT 1-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
24.02.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 4-0 HT 3-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
1-0
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
75% Ball Possession 25%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia squeezed past Arda Kardzhali 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 75% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 25%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.50 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Levski Sofia 1-0 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 66%, draw 23%, Arda Kardzhali 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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