Arda Kardzhali 0-3 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.8pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.68/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.41
+55% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-1 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
16.03.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-1 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
29.09.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-1 HT 1-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
24.02.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 4-0 HT 3-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
01.11.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
11.06.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia ran out comfortable winners over Arda Kardzhali 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Arda Kardzhali at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 1.67 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?

Arda Kardzhali 0-3 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 44%, draw 26%, Levski Sofia 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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