Levski Sofia 1-1 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.9pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.9pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.95/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/0.85
+20% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +40%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-1 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
29.09.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-1 HT 1-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
24.02.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 4-0 HT 3-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
01.11.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
11.06.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
19.03.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-3 HT 0-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
1-1
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia and Arda Kardzhali shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Levski Sofia at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 52% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 48%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.33 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Levski Sofia 1-1 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 52%, draw 21%, Arda Kardzhali 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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26 Apr 2025
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