Spartak Varna 0-1 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 62%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
0.53/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.87
-42% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -9%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
225 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
1W-0D-3L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 2-3 HT 2-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
03.12.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
03.08.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 3-0 HT 2-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
18.03.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
0-1
AWAY CSKA Sofia
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia nicked a narrow win over Spartak Varna 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Varna had 43% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 57%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Spartak Varna and 1.75 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Spartak Varna 0-1 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 25%, draw 21%, CSKA Sofia 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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