CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Sofia v Spartak Varna — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Spartak Varna
BUL1
CSKA Sofia 3-1 Spartak Varna — Actual Match Statistics
CSKA Sofia beat Spartak Varna 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, CSKA Sofia had 57% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 43%, shots finished 33-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CSKA Sofia and 1.50 for Spartak Varna.
What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
CSKA Sofia 3-1 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 50%, draw 27%, Spartak Varna 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.