CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-0 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 19%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.62/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/2.10
-66% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -31%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.09.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-1 HT 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
14.04.2023 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-3 HT 1-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
23.03.2019 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 2-1 HT 0-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2-0
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia saw off Septemvri Sofia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA 1948 Sofia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 62% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 38%, shots finished 18-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 1.33 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-0 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 52%, draw 25%, Septemvri Sofia 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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