Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.64
Over 2.5
34%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
57%
+8.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
43%
-8.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.1pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 32%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.73/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.72
-38% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +58%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-4 HT 0-3 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
18.08.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
15.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
21.10.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
10.05.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-2 HT 1-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BULK
26.04.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-3 HT 1-3 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2-1
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 nicked a narrow win over CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 46% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 54%, shots finished 14-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 1.33 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 38%, draw 27%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
14 May 2025
17:45 PFC Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv Analysis →
20:15 Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia Analysis →