PFC Beroe 0-6 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.78
Over 2.5
38%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.1pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.21/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.55
+8% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +68%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-1 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
02.04.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
14.09.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
04.04.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-3 HT 0-2 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
30.09.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 4-1 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
0-6
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv swept aside PFC Beroe 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 31%) promised a tight game; Botev Plovdiv found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 52% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 48%, shots finished 7-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for PFC Beroe and 1.80 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv?

PFC Beroe 0-6 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 35%, draw 34%, Botev Plovdiv 31%. The final score 0-6 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✗ Under 2.5
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