PFC Beroe 1-3 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.29/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.75
+31% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
29.07.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
21.05.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-3 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
09.04.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
06.10.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
1-3
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 beat PFC Beroe 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 51% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 49%, shots finished 12-18.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for PFC Beroe and 1.40 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

PFC Beroe 1-3 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 33%, draw 29%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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3 Nov 2025
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