PFC Beroe 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.16/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.60
-2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +82%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-3 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
09.04.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
06.10.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
0-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe and Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was PFC Beroe at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 60% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 40%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for PFC Beroe and 1.67 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

PFC Beroe 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 54%, draw 25%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (PFC Beroe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
29 Jul 2024
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