Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.44
Over 2.5
40%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.7pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.9pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
0.72/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.50
-36% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +83%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3W-1D-0L
AWAY PFC Beroe
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
21.05.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-3 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
09.04.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
06.10.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2-1
AWAY PFC Beroe
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 nicked a narrow win over PFC Beroe 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 30% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 70%, shots finished 5-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 0.00 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-1 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated an PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 34%, draw 27%, PFC Beroe 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
30 Nov 2024
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