Hebar 1918 0-1 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
53%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.8
Over
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No Pick
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.5pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.7pp
53%
Away Win
70%
-17.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia The Market 75%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.69/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.82
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -22%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
0W-1D-3L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-1 HT 2-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
06.11.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-0 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
16.07.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
04.05.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-4 HT 0-3 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
0-1
AWAY CSKA Sofia
24% Ball Possession 76%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia nicked a narrow win over Hebar 1918 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 24% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 76%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Hebar 1918 and 2.50 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs CSKA Sofia?

Hebar 1918 0-1 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 20%, draw 27%, CSKA Sofia 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ BTTS No
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30 Nov 2024
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