Septemvri Sofia 0-0 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 Apr 2026

📅16/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
3.43/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.35
+122% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Spartak Varna
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.11.2025 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 1-4 HT 0-2 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
16.03.2025 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 4-2 HT 2-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
30.09.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
24.09.2023 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 1-2 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BULB
31.05.2023 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
24.04.2023 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 2-0 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
0-0
AWAY Spartak Varna
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia and Spartak Varna fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Septemvri Sofia at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 47% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 53%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Varna led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.67 for Spartak Varna.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Septemvri Sofia 0-0 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Septemvri Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 52%, draw 26%, Spartak Varna 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Septemvri Sofia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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