Sligo Rovers 1-0 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.37
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
11%
5.59
X/2
11%
6.33
X/X
12%
5.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.0
2/2
15%
4.07
2/X
5%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.41/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.00
+7% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 63%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
19.1 Crosses 14.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.90 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
221 Passes 245
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
15.02.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-3 HT 0-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
31.08.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
07.06.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
03.05.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
29.03.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
1-0
AWAY Waterford FC
0.88 xG 0.87
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
185 Passes 269
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
10 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers squeezed past Waterford FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sligo Rovers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 41% of the ball to Waterford FC's 59%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.88 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sligo Rovers and 1.33 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Sligo Rovers 1-0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sligo Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 42%, draw 25%, Waterford FC 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sligo Rovers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sligo Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →