Hammarby Talang 3-1 IF Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.25/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.27
-16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby Talang
2W-3D-1L
AWAY IF Karlstad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 1-1 HT 1-1 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
01.04.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
12.08.2023 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 1-1 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
17.05.2023 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-2 HT 2-1 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
06.11.2022 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 1-4 HT 0-2 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
04.06.2022 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 1-0 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby Talang
3-1
AWAY IF Karlstad
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby Talang beat IF Karlstad 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hammarby Talang found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hammarby Talang had 52% of the ball to IF Karlstad's 48%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby Talang had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hammarby Talang and 1.17 for IF Karlstad.

What was the final score of Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad?

Hammarby Talang 3-1 IF Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby Talang vs IF Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby Talang win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hammarby Talang 40%, draw 22%, IF Karlstad 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby Talang), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby Talang) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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