Karlshamn 1-0 IFK Trelleborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
36%
3.8
Away
36%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.6pp
36%
Draw
23%
+13.8pp
36%
Away Win
54%
-18.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 59%
+10% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.23/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.69/1.34
-14% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -9%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
240 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlshamn
1W-1D-0L
AWAY IFK Trelleborg
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2024 Karlshamn 3-3 HT 3-0 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
06.04.2024 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 1-2 HT 1-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlshamn squeezed past IFK Trelleborg 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 36% / 36% — and on the day Karlshamn made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Karlshamn had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Karlshamn and 2.00 for IFK Trelleborg.

What was the final score of Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg?

Karlshamn 1-0 IFK Trelleborg in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Trelleborg win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Karlshamn 28%, draw 36%, IFK Trelleborg 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (28/36/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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