IFK Trelleborg 1-2 Karlshamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH IFK Trelleborg vs Karlshamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlshamn squeezed past IFK Trelleborg 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Trelleborg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of IFK Trelleborg vs Karlshamn?

IFK Trelleborg 1-2 Karlshamn in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Trelleborg vs Karlshamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Trelleborg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IFK Trelleborg 44%, draw 28%, Karlshamn 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Trelleborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Trelleborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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