Karlshamn 3-3 IFK Trelleborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
30%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.0pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-9.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.1pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlshamn EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 43%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
2.02/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.44
+18% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -54%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlshamn
1W-0D-0L
AWAY IFK Trelleborg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.04.2024 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 1-2 HT 1-0 Karlshamn İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlshamn
3-3
AWAY IFK Trelleborg
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlshamn and IFK Trelleborg couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Karlshamn had 43% of the ball to IFK Trelleborg's 57%, shots finished 11-19.

What was the final score of Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg?

Karlshamn 3-3 IFK Trelleborg in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlshamn win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Karlshamn 38%, draw 32%, IFK Trelleborg 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlshamn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karlshamn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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