Algarna 0-4 Lucksta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
2.89
Over 2.5
72%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.38
No
30%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
28%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
41%
+5.9pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.6pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.1pp
28%
Under 2.5
31%
-3.1pp
72%
Over 2.5
69%
+3.1pp
70%
BTTS Yes
68%
+1.8pp
30%
BTTS No
32%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algarna EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucksta EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
2.49/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
+39% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -57%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algarna
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lucksta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2024 Lucksta 3-1 HT 0-0 Algarna Algarna İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Algarna vs Lucksta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucksta ran out comfortable winners over Algarna 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Algarna at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (72%) landed while both teams to score (70%) missed.

What was the final score of Algarna vs Lucksta?

Algarna 0-4 Lucksta in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algarna vs Lucksta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algarna win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Algarna 47%, draw 18%, Lucksta 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Algarna), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Algarna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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