BATE Borisov 1-5 Neman Grodno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 51%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.23/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.82
+15% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE Borisov
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Neman Grodno
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-3 HT 0-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
15.06.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-0 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
26.11.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 3-2 HT 1-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
10.05.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLRK
19.04.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLRK
24.10.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-1 HT 1-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE Borisov
1-5
AWAY Neman Grodno
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BATE Borisov vs Neman Grodno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno ran out comfortable winners over BATE Borisov 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BATE Borisov had 54% of the ball to Neman Grodno's 46%, shots finished 7-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BATE Borisov and 1.33 for Neman Grodno.

What was the final score of BATE Borisov vs Neman Grodno?

BATE Borisov 1-5 Neman Grodno in the Belarus - Premier League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE Borisov vs Neman Grodno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 28%, draw 28%, Neman Grodno 44%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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