Middelfart 1-0 Skive IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Skive IK EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +26%
1.86/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.54
-7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Skive IK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Skive IK Skive IK 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
04.04.2025 Skive IK Skive IK 0-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
23.08.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 2-1 HT 2-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
18.11.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 0-1 HT 0-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
15.09.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 0-2 HT 0-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
13.11.2021 Skive IK Skive IK 1-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
1-0
AWAY Skive IK
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Skive IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart squeezed past Skive IK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Middelfart had 50% of the ball to Skive IK's 50%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middelfart had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Middelfart and 0.67 for Skive IK.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Skive IK?

Middelfart 1-0 Skive IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Skive IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 51%, draw 23%, Skive IK 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✓ BTTS No
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