Nykobing 1-2 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.63
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.07/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.04
-17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Thisted
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 2-2 Thisted Thisted DAN2
18.08.2024 Thisted Thisted 1-0 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
11.11.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 1-1 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
23.09.2023 Thisted Thisted 2-2 HT 2-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted nicked a narrow win over Nykobing 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Thisted as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Thisted led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Nykobing and 1.50 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Thisted?

Nykobing 1-2 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thisted win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 32%, draw 27%, Thisted 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thisted), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thisted) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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