Gnistan 2-1 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.48/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.68
-10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
25.1 Crosses 21.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY KTP Kotka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 3-0 HT 2-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FLK
31.05.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-1 HT 0-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİK
17.07.2022 Gnistan Gnistan 2-1 HT 2-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
15.06.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-0 HT 2-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
16.09.2020 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-0 HT 3-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
19.07.2020 Gnistan Gnistan 0-3 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
2-1
AWAY KTP Kotka
1.60 xG 0.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
320 Passes 246
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan nicked a narrow win over KTP Kotka 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gnistan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gnistan had 54% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 46%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.60 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gnistan and 2.17 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs KTP Kotka?

Gnistan 2-1 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 49%, draw 27%, KTP Kotka 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gnistan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gnistan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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