Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -16%
1.27/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.51
+18% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 17.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.76 xG 1.08
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
298 Passes 444
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.05.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
10.11.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-3 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
28.07.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-2 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
01.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 3-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
20.04.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
02.08.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1-0
AWAY Pohang Steelers
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
214 Passes 482
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu edged past Pohang Steelers 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimcheon Sangmu as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 34% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 66%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 0.67 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Pohang Steelers?

Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 41%, draw 29%, Pohang Steelers 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5
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