Ryukyu 0-3 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
1.29/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.17
-2% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses 18.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
485 Passes 212
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 2-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
02.03.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-2 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
09.09.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 1-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
08.07.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
24.10.2021 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
26.06.2021 Ryukyu Ryukyu 4-0 HT 2-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
0-3
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 7
487 Passes 240
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga ran out comfortable winners over Ryukyu 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Matsumoto Yamaga made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ryukyu had 63% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 37%, shots finished 11-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ryukyu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ryukyu and 1.33 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Ryukyu 0-3 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ryukyu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 37%, draw 26%, Matsumoto Yamaga 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ryukyu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ryukyu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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