Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ryukyu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Matsumoto Yamaga v Ryukyu — Team-Based Signals
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ryukyu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Ryukyu
JAP3
2-1
HT 0-1
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP3
1-2
HT 0-0
Ryukyu
JAP2
4-0
HT 2-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP2
1-0
HT 0-0
Ryukyu
JPK
Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 Ryukyu — Actual Match Statistics
Matsumoto Yamaga squeezed past Ryukyu 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Matsumoto Yamaga as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 34% of the ball to Ryukyu's 66%, shots finished 13-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ryukyu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.83 for Ryukyu.
What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ryukyu?
Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ryukyu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 54%, draw 24%, Ryukyu 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.