Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.12/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.63
-27% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-2 HT 3-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
19.11.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-2 HT 2-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
24.06.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
28.08.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
13.03.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-2 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
348 Passes 303
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu and Parceiro Nagano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 54% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 46%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 1.80 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 37%, draw 28%, Parceiro Nagano 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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