FC Gifu 2-2 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.07
Over 2.5
41%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
44%
+14.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
56%
-14.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.4pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.27/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.80
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.2 Crosses 24.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Gifu
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
13.03.2024 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-2 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JLK
02.03.2024 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
26.07.2015 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 5-0 HT 3-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP2
24.05.2015 FC Gifu FC Gifu 0-5 HT 0-4 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Gifu
2-2
AWAY Omiya Ardija
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
383 Passes 361
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Gifu vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Gifu and Omiya Ardija shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Gifu had 52% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 48%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for FC Gifu and 3.25 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of FC Gifu vs Omiya Ardija?

FC Gifu 2-2 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J3 League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Gifu vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Gifu 35%, draw 27%, Omiya Ardija 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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