FC Gifu 1-2 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Gifu
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
02.03.2024 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
26.07.2015 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 5-0 HT 3-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP2
24.05.2015 FC Gifu FC Gifu 0-5 HT 0-4 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Gifu
1-2
AWAY Omiya Ardija
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Gifu vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija squeezed past FC Gifu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Omiya Ardija found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FC Gifu had 56% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 44%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for FC Gifu and 3.67 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of FC Gifu vs Omiya Ardija?

FC Gifu 1-2 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - League Cup on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Gifu vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Gifu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Gifu 39%, draw 26%, Omiya Ardija 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Gifu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Gifu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JLK More Japan - League Cup
13 Mar 2024
12:00 Grulla Morioka vs Tochigi SC Analysis →
12:30 Vanraure Hachinohe vs Zweigen Kanazawa Analysis →
13:00 Matsumoto Yamaga vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →
13:00 Fukushima United vs Roasso Kumamoto Analysis →
13:00 Parceiro Nagano vs Tokushima Vortis Analysis →
13:00 Kataller Toyama vs Montedio Yamagata Analysis →