Kataller Toyama 2-1 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 14
03.05.2014 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-0 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
2-1
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama squeezed past Montedio Yamagata 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Kataller Toyama made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 45% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 55%, shots finished 19-9.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Montedio Yamagata?

Kataller Toyama 2-1 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - League Cup on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 36%, draw 29%, Montedio Yamagata 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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