Grulla Morioka 1-0 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.59
Over 2.5
51%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
463 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grulla Morioka
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Tochigi SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.06.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP2
20.03.2022 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-1 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
1-0
AWAY Tochigi SC
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grulla Morioka edged past Tochigi SC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Grulla Morioka as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 49% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 51%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grulla Morioka and 1.00 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Tochigi SC?

Grulla Morioka 1-0 Tochigi SC in the Japan - League Cup on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grulla Morioka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 43%, draw 27%, Tochigi SC 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grulla Morioka) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grulla Morioka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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