Parceiro Nagano 5-1 Tokushima Vortis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+9.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
39%
-12.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
5-1
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Tokushima Vortis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano cruised past Tokushima Vortis 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Parceiro Nagano as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 41% of the ball to Tokushima Vortis's 59%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Tokushima Vortis?

Parceiro Nagano 5-1 Tokushima Vortis in the Japan - League Cup on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Tokushima Vortis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 44%, draw 29%, Tokushima Vortis 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parceiro Nagano), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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