Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.73
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.74
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
6%
15.7
X/1
9%
7.88
X/2
13%
4.36
X/X
12%
4.01
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
28%
2.73
2/X
9%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-0.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.9pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 51%
-9% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.09/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.94
-36% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +70%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
20.4 Crosses 20.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.97 xG 0.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
303 Passes 227
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
11.08.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
11.05.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-2
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.58 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
374 Passes 361
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia edged past Shonan Bellmare 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 50% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 50%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.58 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 0.00 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Machida Zelvia?

Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 25%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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