Machida Zelvia 0-1 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.03
6+ Goals
10%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.4
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.8
X/1
19%
4.02
X/2
9%
9.28
X/X
9%
4.04
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
11%
8.47
2/X
6%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.94/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.60
-1% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.4 Crosses 16.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.26 xG 0.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
244 Passes 239
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
11.05.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
0-1
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
0.89 xG 1.02
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
210 Passes 367
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare edged past Machida Zelvia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Machida Zelvia at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 39% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 61%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.89 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Machida Zelvia and 0.50 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Shonan Bellmare?

Machida Zelvia 0-1 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 52%, draw 23%, Shonan Bellmare 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Machida Zelvia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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