Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.18
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.75
X/1
14%
5.47
X/2
14%
5.31
X/X
14%
3.95
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.99
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.07/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.14
-11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
16.7 Crosses 20.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
318 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
23.02.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
13.08.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
31.05.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
01.10.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-1 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
13.05.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.49 xG 0.79
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
313 Passes 369
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds nicked a narrow win over Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Urawa Red Diamonds found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 46% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 54%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.49 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 1.50 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 34%, draw 28%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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