Kashima Antlers 1-0 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.07
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.71
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
17%
5.15
X/2
6%
6.01
X/X
13%
3.73
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.71
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
38%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.2pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -35%
1.23/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.29
+23% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
372 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.2 Crosses 16.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.76 xG 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
329 Passes 320
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
23.02.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-3 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
10.09.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
06.09.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
13.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
14.05.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-0 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
1-0
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.96 xG 0.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
302 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers nicked a narrow win over Nagoya Grampus 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 48% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 52%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.96 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kashima Antlers and 0.67 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus?

Kashima Antlers 1-0 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 46%, draw 27%, Nagoya Grampus 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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