Rigas Skola 2-1 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
78%
-17.5pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.7pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
2.69/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.19
+23% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +23%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
44.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
27.0 Crosses 13.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Super Nova
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.93 xG 0.47
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
478 Passes 222
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
50 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-2 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
05.11.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-4 HT 0-3 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
13.08.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 3-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
04.06.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 1-6 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
24.04.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-1 HT 1-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
23.10.2022 Super Nova Super Nova 0-4 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
2-1
AWAY Super Nova
2.17 xG 0.15
73% Ball Possession 27%
22 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
545 Passes 151
88% Pass Accuracy 65%
46 Box Touches 5
44 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola squeezed past Super Nova 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 73% of the ball to Super Nova's 27%, shots finished 22-2, expected goals 2.17 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rigas Skola's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.50 for Super Nova.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs Super Nova?

Rigas Skola 2-1 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 60%, draw 22%, Super Nova 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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