Grobina 0-2 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
16.01
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
58%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
4%
+14.9pp
23%
Draw
11%
+11.7pp
59%
Away Win
85%
-26.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.16/2.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.77/0.71
+19% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +54%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 485 · 85%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.6
14.2 Crosses 29.1
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Riga FC
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 3.60
0.47 xG 2.72
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
202 Passes 493
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
31.08.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 6-1 HT 2-1 Grobina Grobina LET
22.06.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-6 HT 0-4 Riga FC Riga FC LET
02.05.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
10.03.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
0-2
AWAY Riga FC
0.46 xG 1.49
24% Ball Possession 76%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
139 Passes 600
68% Pass Accuracy 91%
10 Box Touches 40
12 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC saw off Grobina 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grobina had 24% of the ball to Riga FC's 76%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.46 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Grobina and 3.60 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Riga FC?

Grobina 0-2 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Grobina 19%, draw 23%, Riga FC 59%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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