Grobina 0-6 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
9.57
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
59%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.98
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
8%
+12.4pp
20%
Draw
11%
+9.0pp
59%
Away Win
81%
-21.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 85%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.39/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.96/0.68
+36% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +40%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 77%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 47.3
14.0 Crosses 32.3
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Riga FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.32 xG 2.81
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
204 Passes 511
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 44
14 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
10.03.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
0-6
AWAY Riga FC
1.07 xG 3.53
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 8
256 Passes 466
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 51
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC ran out comfortable winners over Grobina 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Grobina had 39% of the ball to Riga FC's 61%, shots finished 3-27, expected goals 1.07 to 3.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Grobina and 1.50 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Riga FC?

Grobina 0-6 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Grobina 20%, draw 20%, Riga FC 59%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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