Riga FC 3-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.11
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
85%
-17.5pp
19%
Draw
9%
+9.6pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.1pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.84/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/2.00
+13% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +6%
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
442 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
46.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.1
31.4 Crosses 9.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Grobina
3.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
2.98 xG 0.53
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
507 Passes 221
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
42 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 6-1 HT 2-1 Grobina Grobina LET
22.06.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-6 HT 0-4 Riga FC Riga FC LET
02.05.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
10.03.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
3-0
AWAY Grobina
1.67 xG 0.24
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
440 Passes 129
86% Pass Accuracy 61%
40 Box Touches 4
36 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC cruised past Grobina 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Riga FC had 71% of the ball to Grobina's 29%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 1.67 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.75 goals for Riga FC and 0.25 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Grobina?

Riga FC 3-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 67%, draw 19%, Grobina 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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