BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Liepaja
LET
2-1
HT 1-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
BFC Daugavpils 4-2 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils saw off Liepaja 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 26% / 40% — and on the day BFC Daugavpils made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 38% of the ball to Liepaja's 62%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.33 to 1.10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.50 for Liepaja.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja?
BFC Daugavpils 4-2 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 33%, draw 26%, Liepaja 40%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liepaja) went the other way.