Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liepaja v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Liepaja
LET
2-1
HT 1-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-2
HT 1-2
Liepaja
LET
Liepaja 3-3 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja and BFC Daugavpils couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Liepaja carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Liepaja had 74% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 26%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 2.93 to 1.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Liepaja and 0.83 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Liepaja 3-3 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 56%, draw 24%, BFC Daugavpils 20%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.