FS Jelgava 2-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-8.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.2 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Grobina
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.64 xG 1.36
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
224 Passes 334
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2024 Grobina Grobina 2-3 HT 1-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
16.06.2024 Grobina Grobina 4-2 HT 1-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
28.04.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 1-1 Grobina Grobina LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
2-0
AWAY Grobina
1.19 xG 0.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
315 Passes 224
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
33 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FS Jelgava saw off Grobina 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; FS Jelgava found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 54% of the ball to Grobina's 46%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.19 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FS Jelgava and 2.33 for Grobina.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Grobina?

FS Jelgava 2-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 40%, draw 27%, Grobina 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FS Jelgava), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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