Grobina 4-2 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 40%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+95% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
229 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FS Jelgava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 3
28.04.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 1-1 Grobina Grobina LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
4-2
AWAY FS Jelgava
1.63 xG 1.04
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
411 Passes 244
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grobina vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grobina saw off FS Jelgava 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Grobina found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grobina had 59% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 41%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.63 to 1.04.

What was the final score of Grobina vs FS Jelgava?

Grobina 4-2 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated an FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grobina 32%, draw 29%, FS Jelgava 39%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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