Auda 4-0 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-15.0pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.7pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.55/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.03
-31% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.8 Crosses 16.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.61 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
423 Passes 300
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-3 HT 0-2 Auda Auda LET
15.09.2023 Auda Auda 3-1 HT 2-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
29.06.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
28.05.2023 Auda Auda 3-1 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
18.03.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-2 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
10.09.2022 Auda Auda 2-1 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
4-0
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
1.96 xG 0.32
66% Ball Possession 34%
23 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
668 Passes 294
93% Pass Accuracy 80%
39 Box Touches 5
15 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Auda vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda cruised past Metta / LU Riga 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Auda had 66% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 34%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 1.96 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Auda and 0.67 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of Auda vs Metta / LU Riga?

Auda 4-0 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Auda 58%, draw 23%, Metta / LU Riga 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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