Grobina vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grobina v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals
Grobina vs FS Jelgava Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Grobina 2-3 FS Jelgava — Actual Match Statistics
FS Jelgava nicked a narrow win over Grobina 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day FS Jelgava made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Grobina had 56% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 44%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.09 to 2.23.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Grobina and 2.00 for FS Jelgava.
What was the final score of Grobina vs FS Jelgava?
Grobina 2-3 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grobina vs FS Jelgava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Grobina 40%, draw 24%, FS Jelgava 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grobina) went the other way.