Auda 5-0 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-16.5pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.7pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.71/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.22
-32% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
461 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
22.0 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.04 xG 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
474 Passes 308
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-4 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
16.06.2024 Auda Auda 4-0 HT 3-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
26.04.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-3 HT 0-2 Auda Auda LET
15.09.2023 Auda Auda 3-1 HT 2-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
29.06.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
28.05.2023 Auda Auda 3-1 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
5-0
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
2.87 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
479 Passes 409
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
33 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Auda vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda ran out comfortable winners over Metta / LU Riga 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Auda had 53% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 47%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.87 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Auda and 0.50 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of Auda vs Metta / LU Riga?

Auda 5-0 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Auda 58%, draw 22%, Metta / LU Riga 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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