BFC Daugavpils 0-2 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.9pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 45%
+21% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.74/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.08
+62% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
22.9 Crosses 24.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Daugavpils
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Liepaja
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.86 xG 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
178 Passes 280
62% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
28.04.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-0 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
05.11.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 2-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
12.08.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 2-1 HT 1-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
05.06.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-2 HT 1-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
23.04.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Daugavpils
0-2
AWAY Liepaja
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja got the better of BFC Daugavpils 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 43% of the ball to Liepaja's 57%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.17 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja?

BFC Daugavpils 0-2 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 34%, draw 23%, Liepaja 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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